Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: UT Arlington 58%, North Florida 42% at North Florida.
UT Arlington's win probability against North Florida is trending down — from 61% to 58% over the last 6 updates.
UT Arlington's win probability against North Florida is trending down — from 67% to 64% over the last 6 updates.
UT Arlington's win probability against North Florida has held at 70% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.