UNC Wilmington at North Carolina Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
North Carolina by 50.03
TOTAL POINTS
128
UPDATED
Tuesday, April 7, 2026
RATINGS
UNC Wilmington
North Carolina 
|
62
D-
|
Overall |
97
A+
|
|
64
D
|
Power |
97
A+
|
|
65
D
|
Offensive |
96
A
|
|
65
D
|
Defensive |
98
A+
|
|
65
D
|
SoS (Current) |
93
A-
|
|
65
D
|
SoS (Future) |
93
A-
|
RANKINGS
UNC Wilmington
North Carolina
| 342 | Overall | 15 |
| 324 | Power | 19 |
| 315 | Offensive | 31 |
| 321 | Defensive | 11 |
| 315 | SoS (Current) | 58 |
| 315 | SoS (Future) | 58 |
North Carolina#1599%
UNC Wilmington#3421%Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: North Carolina 99%, UNC Wilmington 1% at North Carolina.
North Carolina's win probability against UNC Wilmington has held at 99% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
North Carolina's win probability against UNC Wilmington has held at 99% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
North Carolina's win probability against UNC Wilmington has held at 99% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
North Carolina favored
UNC Wilmington favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At UNC Wilmington | Neutral | At North Carolina |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 1 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 2 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 3 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 4 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 5 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 6 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 7 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 8 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 9 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 10 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 11 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 12 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 13 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 14 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 15 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 16 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 17 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 18 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 19 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 20 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 21 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 22 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 23 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 24 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
RECORDS
UNC Wilmington
North Carolina
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
6-24 (20%) |
Overall |
28-8 (77.8%) |
|
4-8 (33.3%) |
Home |
15-2 (88.2%) |
|
1-15 (6.3%) |
Away |
8-3 (72.7%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
2-7 (22.2%) |
|
0-15 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
15-8 (65.2%) |
|
6-9 (40%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
13-0 (100%) |
|
2-8 (20%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
SUPERLATIVES
UNC Wilmington
North Carolina
| #284 NC A&T | Best Win | #9 Duke |
| #317 Hampton | Worst Loss | #62 Stanford |
| 20 pts vs #360 Presbyterian | Largest MOV | 52 pts vs #197 SMU |
| 50 pts vs #15 North Carolina | Largest MOD | 23 pts vs #17 Notre Dame |
OTHER STATISTICS
UNC Wilmington
North Carolina
| 58.1 | Points per Game | 74.6 |
| 68.9 | Points Against | 59.1 |
| 57.6 | Home PPG | 78.1 |
| 64.3 | Home PA | 55.2 |
| 58.8 | Away PPG | 71.5 |
| 73.3 | Away PA | 60.2 |
| 428-467 | Opponent Record | 710-475 |
| 229.5 | Avg Opponent Rank | 113.5 |
| L 10 | Longest Streak | W 8 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
UNC Wilmington
North Carolina
| Mar 12 | Monmouth NJ (18-12) | L61-72 | Mar 27 | #4 Connecticut (38-1) | L42-63 |
| Mar 11 | Northeastern (7-22) | W51-50 | Mar 22 | vs #19 Maryland (24-9) | W74-66 |
| Mar 7 | at Elon (15-16) | L54-66 | Mar 20 | vs W Illinois (23-6) | W82-51 |
| Mar 5 | at NC A&T (8-18) | L46-55 | Mar 7 | #14 Louisville (29-8) | L57-65 |
| Mar 1 | vs William & Mary (16-14) | L41-60 | Mar 6 | Virginia Tech (23-10) | W85-68 |
| Feb 22 | at Hofstra (10-22) | L43-75 | Mar 1 | vs #9 Duke (27-9) | W74-69 |
| Feb 20 | at Stony Brook (15-15) | L55-60 | Feb 26 | at Virginia (22-12) | W82-70 |
| Feb 15 | vs Campbell (18-12) | L52-54 | Feb 22 | vs Pittsburgh (8-22) | W78-50 |
| Feb 13 | vs NC A&T (8-18) | W69-64 | Feb 19 | at Virginia Tech (23-10) | W66-63 |
| Feb 6 | at Col Charleston (25-6) | L61-81 | Feb 15 | at #9 Duke (27-9) | L68-72 |
