St Mary's CA at New Mexico St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
St Mary's CA by 9.5
TOTAL POINTS
116
UPDATED
Wednesday, October 28, 2026
See this week's WCBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
New Mexico St
St Mary's CA 
|
68
D+
|
Overall |
77
C+
|
|
67
D+
|
Power |
81
B-
|
|
66
D
|
Offensive |
71
C-
|
|
70
C-
|
Defensive |
91
A-
|
|
|
SoS (Current) |
|
|
75
C
|
SoS (Full Season) |
81
B-
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
New Mexico St
St Mary's CA
| 291 | Overall | 207 |
| 301 | Power | 166 |
| 304 | Offensive | 263 |
| 268 | Defensive | 74 |
| N/A | SoS (Current) | N/A |
| 221 | SoS (Full Season) | 165 |
St Mary's CA#20773%
New Mexico St#29127%Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: St Mary's CA 73%, New Mexico St 27% at New Mexico St.
St Mary's CA's win probability against New Mexico St is trending down — from 76% to 73% over the last 6 updates.
St Mary's CA's win probability against New Mexico St is trending down — from 81% to 78% over the last 6 updates.
St Mary's CA's win probability against New Mexico St has held at 83% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
St Mary's CA favored
New Mexico St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At New Mexico St | Neutral | At St Mary's CA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 76% | 81% | 85% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 75% | 80% | 84% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 76% | 81% | 85% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 76% | 81% | 85% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 77% | 81% | 85% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 76% | 81% | 85% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 76% | 81% | 85% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 76% | 81% | 85% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 73% | 78% | 83% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
New Mexico St
St Mary's CA
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
6-21 (22.2%) |
Overall |
13-17 (43.3%) |
|
4-7 (36.4%) |
Home |
5-7 (41.7%) |
|
2-12 (14.3%) |
Away |
8-7 (53.3%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
2-12 (14.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
2-13 (13.3%) |
|
4-9 (30.8%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
11-4 (73.3%) |
|
2-8 (20%) |
Last 10 Games |
2-8 (20%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
New Mexico St
St Mary's CA
| #102 Missouri St | Best Win | #132 Pepperdine |
| #258 UTEP | Worst Loss | #250 San Diego |
| 12 pts vs #256 Kennesaw | Largest MOV | 27 pts vs #341 Seattle |
| 41 pts vs #69 Louisiana Tech | Largest MOD | 46 pts vs #28 USC |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
New Mexico St
St Mary's CA
| 55.7 | Points per Game | 59.1 |
| 68.5 | Points Against | 60.4 |
| 58.6 | Home PPG | 62.5 |
| 65.7 | Home PA | 60.8 |
| 54.9 | Away PPG | 56.3 |
| 70.7 | Away PA | 58.6 |
| 421-393 | Opponent Record | 425-524 |
| 181.6 | Avg Opponent Rank | 176.9 |
| L 6 | Longest Streak | L 5 |
| L 3 | Current Streak | L 5 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
New Mexico St
St Mary's CA
| Mar 7 | at Sam Houston St (15-13) | L55-71 | Mar 5 | San Diego (10-22) | L62-66 |
| Mar 5 | at Louisiana Tech (24-7) | L47-88 | Feb 28 | at Washington St (9-25) | L50-57 |
| Feb 28 | vs Jacksonville St (13-16) | L38-57 | Feb 26 | at Gonzaga (24-10) | L67-75 |
| Feb 26 | vs Kennesaw (10-17) | W52-40 | Feb 21 | vs San Francisco (18-15) | L60-61 |
| Feb 21 | vs UTEP (11-17) | L58-69 | Feb 19 | at Santa Clara (22-10) | L55-63 |
| Feb 14 | at Liberty (16-13) | L42-67 | Feb 16 | vs Seattle (3-25) | W86-59 |
| Feb 12 | at Delaware (12-19) | L62-65 | Feb 12 | vs Pacific (10-19) | L53-56 |
| Feb 7 | vs Louisiana Tech (24-7) | L58-77 | Feb 7 | at San Francisco (18-15) | W72-55 |
| Feb 5 | vs Sam Houston St (15-13) | W65-57 | Feb 5 | vs Loy Marymount (20-10) | L69-75 |
| Jan 31 | at UTEP (11-17) | L69-79 | Jan 29 | at Portland (18-15) | L42-68 |