Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
MD Eastern Shore
UMBC
|
77
C+
|
Overall |
79
C+
|
|
71
C-
|
Power |
77
C+
|
|
70
C-
6099
|
Offensive |
72
C-
6099
|
|
MD Eastern Shore
6099
UMBC
6099
|
||
|
79
C+
6099
|
Defensive |
85
B
6099
|
|
MD Eastern Shore
6099
UMBC
6099
|
||
|
69
D+
|
SoS (Current) |
76
C
|
|
69
D+
|
SoS (Future) |
76
C
|
MD Eastern Shore
UMBC
| 204 | Overall | 186 |
| 257 | Power | 201 |
| 274 | Offensive | 253 |
| 191 | Defensive | 135 |
| 275 | SoS (Current) | 212 |
| 275 | SoS (Future) | 212 |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: UMBC 56%, MD E Shore 44% at MD E Shore.
UMBC's win probability against MD E Shore is trending up — from 53% to 56% over the last 6 weeks.
UMBC's win probability against MD E Shore is trending up — from 62% to 65% over the last 6 weeks.
UMBC's win probability against MD E Shore has held at 73% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At MD E Shore | Neutral | At UMBC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 24% | 32% | 41% |
| Wk 1 | 41% | 51% | 60% |
| Wk 2 | 79% | 85% | 90% |
| Wk 3 | 49% | 59% | 68% |
| Wk 4 | 45% | 54% | 63% |
| Wk 5 | 41% | 50% | 59% |
| Wk 6 | 42% | 51% | 60% |
| Wk 7 | 42% | 52% | 61% |
| Wk 8 | 42% | 52% | 61% |
| Wk 9 | 37% | 46% | 56% |
| Wk 10 | 43% | 53% | 62% |
| Wk 11 | 40% | 50% | 59% |
| Wk 12 | 46% | 55% | 64% |
| Wk 13 | 47% | 56% | 65% |
| Wk 14 | 47% | 56% | 65% |
| Wk 15 | 48% | 57% | 66% |
| Wk 16 | 53% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 17 | 54% | 63% | 71% |
| Wk 18 | 53% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 19 | 54% | 63% | 71% |
| Wk 20 | 56% | 65% | 73% |
| Wk 21 | 54% | 63% | 72% |
| Wk 22 | 55% | 64% | 72% |
| Wk 23 | 56% | 65% | 73% |
| Wk 24 | 56% | 65% | 73% |
MD Eastern Shore
UMBC
|
1-0 (100%) |
Head to Head |
0-1 (0%) |
|
18-15 (54.5%) |
Overall |
15-15 (50%) |
|
8-3 (72.7%) |
Home |
6-6 (50%) |
|
9-8 (52.9%) |
Away |
8-9 (47.1%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
4-10 (28.6%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
8-12 (40%) |
|
14-5 (73.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
7-3 (70%) |
|
6-4 (60%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
MD Eastern Shore
UMBC
| #111 Howard | Best Win | #44 Virginia |
| #333 NC Central | Worst Loss | #320 American Univ |
| 41 pts vs #356 S Carolina St | Largest MOV | 23 pts vs #334 MA Lowell |
| 53 pts vs #13 Oklahoma | Largest MOD | 33 pts vs #19 Maryland |
MD Eastern Shore
UMBC
| 59.8 | Points per Game | 60 |
| 62.5 | Points Against | 59.9 |
| 65.5 | Home PPG | 59.9 |
| 58.3 | Home PA | 57.9 |
| 57.8 | Away PPG | 59.6 |
| 64.5 | Away PA | 62.1 |
| 451-544 | Opponent Record | 473-442 |
| 215.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 195.5 |
| L 5 | Longest Streak | W 5 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
MD Eastern Shore
UMBC
| Mar 24 | at Youngstown St (23-10) | L42-61 | Mar 23 | at Marshall (27-9) | L53-66 |
| Mar 19 | at Wake Forest (14-18) | W59-48 | Mar 19 | at Ohio (17-14) | W62-58 |
| Mar 13 | Norfolk St (14-15) | L51-60 | Mar 9 | at Vermont (25-8) | L65-68 |
| Mar 11 | Delaware St (4-23) | W55-48 | Mar 5 | vs NJIT (19-13) | W66-65 |
| Mar 5 | vs Delaware St (4-23) | W56-48 | Feb 28 | vs MA Lowell (5-21) | W66-43 |
| Feb 28 | vs S Carolina St (3-25) | W74-33 | Feb 26 | at Bryant (16-12) | W65-59 |
| Feb 26 | vs NC Central (7-20) | W58-55 | Feb 21 | at SUNY Albany (13-16) | L63-69 |
| Feb 21 | at Coppin St (8-23) | W66-64 | Feb 19 | at Vermont (25-8) | W46-44 |
| Feb 14 | at Howard (26-8) | L45-66 | Feb 14 | vs New Hampshire (8-20) | W61-44 |
| Feb 12 | vs Norfolk St (14-15) | L51-57 | Feb 12 | vs Maine (19-13) | L55-56 |
vs
Women's College Basketball