Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: UMBC 83%, MA Lowell 17% at MA Lowell.
UMBC's win probability against MA Lowell has held at 83% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
UMBC's win probability against MA Lowell has held at 86% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
UMBC's win probability against MA Lowell has held at 89% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.