Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Iowa 72%, Iowa St 28% at Iowa.
Iowa's win probability against Iowa St is trending down — from 64% to 60% over the last 6 updates.
Iowa's win probability against Iowa St is trending down — from 70% to 66% over the last 6 updates.
Iowa's win probability against Iowa St is trending down — from 76% to 72% over the last 6 updates.