Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Fairfield 89%, Iona 11% at Iona.
Fairfield's win probability against Iona is trending down — from 93% to 89% over the last 6 updates.
Fairfield's win probability against Iona is trending down — from 95% to 92% over the last 6 updates.
Fairfield's win probability against Iona has held at 94% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.