Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: WI Green Bay 57%, Illinois St 43% at Illinois St.
WI Green Bay's win probability against Illinois St is trending up — from 54% to 57% over the last 6 updates.
WI Green Bay's win probability against Illinois St is trending up — from 60% to 63% over the last 6 updates.
WI Green Bay's win probability against Illinois St has held at 69% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.