Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Illinois St
East Carolina
|
86
B
|
Overall |
88
B+
|
|
84
B
|
Power |
87
B+
|
|
83
B-
6099
|
Offensive |
90
A-
6099
|
|
Illinois St
6099
East Carolina
6099
|
||
|
81
B-
6099
|
Defensive |
79
C+
6099
|
|
Illinois St
6099
East Carolina
6099
|
||
|
79
C+
|
SoS (Current) |
80
B-
|
|
79
C+
|
SoS (Future) |
80
B-
|
Illinois St
East Carolina
| 124 | Overall | 104 |
| 139 | Power | 113 |
| 145 | Offensive | 86 |
| 172 | Defensive | 183 |
| 188 | SoS (Current) | 179 |
| 188 | SoS (Future) | 179 |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: East Carolina 61%, Illinois St 39% at a neutral site.
East Carolina's win probability against Illinois St is trending up — from 46% to 51% over the last 6 weeks.
East Carolina's win probability against Illinois St is trending up — from 56% to 61% over the last 6 weeks.
East Carolina's win probability against Illinois St is trending up — from 65% to 69% over the last 6 weeks.
| Week | At Illinois St | Neutral | At East Carolina |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 34% | 43% | 53% |
| Wk 1 | 23% | 31% | 39% |
| Wk 2 | 20% | 27% | 35% |
| Wk 3 | 13% | 19% | 26% |
| Wk 4 | 26% | 34% | 43% |
| Wk 5 | 27% | 35% | 44% |
| Wk 6 | 26% | 34% | 43% |
| Wk 7 | 28% | 36% | 45% |
| Wk 8 | 28% | 36% | 45% |
| Wk 9 | 32% | 41% | 50% |
| Wk 10 | 29% | 37% | 47% |
| Wk 11 | 29% | 37% | 46% |
| Wk 12 | 39% | 49% | 58% |
| Wk 13 | 46% | 56% | 65% |
| Wk 14 | 43% | 53% | 62% |
| Wk 15 | 44% | 54% | 63% |
| Wk 16 | 50% | 60% | 68% |
| Wk 17 | 50% | 59% | 68% |
| Wk 18 | 46% | 56% | 65% |
| Wk 19 | 50% | 59% | 68% |
| Wk 20 | 50% | 60% | 68% |
| Wk 21 | 51% | 60% | 69% |
| Wk 22 | 48% | 57% | 66% |
| Wk 23 | 49% | 59% | 67% |
| Wk 24 | 51% | 61% | 69% |
Illinois St
East Carolina
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
24-15 (61.5%) |
Overall |
22-10 (68.8%) |
|
17-1 (94.4%) |
Home |
13-4 (76.5%) |
|
6-9 (40%) |
Away |
7-4 (63.6%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
8-10 (44.4%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
7-7 (50%) |
|
16-5 (76.2%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
15-3 (83.3%) |
|
6-4 (60%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
Illinois St
East Carolina
| #103 Belmont | Best Win | #67 South Florida |
| #287 S Illinois | Worst Loss | #269 Wichita St |
| 49 pts vs #345 Chicago St | Largest MOV | 31 pts vs #125 Tulsa |
| 41 pts vs #38 Nebraska | Largest MOD | 24 pts vs #117 North Texas |
Illinois St
East Carolina
| 70.5 | Points per Game | 71.2 |
| 66.7 | Points Against | 65.3 |
| 77.5 | Home PPG | 73.1 |
| 63.1 | Home PA | 63.6 |
| 66.1 | Away PPG | 71.5 |
| 70.5 | Away PA | 69 |
| 608-659 | Opponent Record | 471-523 |
| 185.8 | Avg Opponent Rank | 183.6 |
| L 4 | Longest Streak | W 6 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Illinois St
East Carolina
| Apr 4 | at Marshall (27-9) | L41-66 | Mar 13 | UT San Antonio (17-16) | L44-54 |
| Apr 4 | Marshall (27-9) | L41-66 | Mar 7 | at Tulsa (19-12) | W76-61 |
| Apr 1 | at South Dakota (23-10) | W67-60 | Feb 28 | vs Charlotte (14-18) | W64-57 |
| Mar 30 | vs G Washington (17-18) | W61-53 | Feb 25 | at Memphis (9-21) | L80-88 |
| Mar 27 | vs Abilene Chr (21-11) | W59-55 | Feb 21 | vs Rice (29-6) | L58-60 |
| Mar 22 | vs UTRGV (19-14) | W81-52 | Feb 17 | vs FL Atlantic (13-18) | W74-61 |
| Mar 14 | Evansville (10-25) | L70-75 | Feb 14 | at Temple (15-17) | W79-73 |
| Mar 13 | Drake (12-20) | W69-62 | Feb 10 | at Tulane (11-20) | W65-61 |
| Mar 8 | at Bradley (19-13) | W66-65 | Feb 4 | vs South Florida (20-12) | W64-62 |
| Mar 5 | at Drake (12-20) | L55-73 | Jan 30 | at Charlotte (14-18) | W67-61 |
vs
Women's College Basketball