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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 2 (Nov 15), 2026-27: Holy Cross 59%, Bryant 41% at Holy Cross.
Holy Cross' win probability against Bryant has swung between 46% and 52% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 46% now.
Holy Cross' win probability against Bryant has swung between 53% and 58% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 53% now.
Holy Cross' win probability against Bryant has swung between 59% and 64% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 59% now.