Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: ETSU 67%, Gardner Webb 33% at Gardner Webb.
ETSU's win probability against Gardner Webb is trending down — from 70% to 67% over the last 6 updates.
ETSU's win probability against Gardner Webb is trending down — from 76% to 73% over the last 6 updates.
ETSU's win probability against Gardner Webb has held at 78% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.