Mt St Mary's at Fairfield Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Fairfield by 25.26
TOTAL POINTS
129
UPDATED
Wednesday, October 28, 2026
See this week's WCBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Mt St Mary's
Fairfield 
|
69
D+
|
Overall |
91
A-
|
|
68
D+
|
Power |
92
A-
|
|
67
D+
|
Offensive |
92
A-
|
|
71
C-
|
Defensive |
90
A-
|
|
|
SoS (Current) |
|
|
64
D
|
SoS (Full Season) |
72
C-
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Mt St Mary's
Fairfield
| 277 | Overall | 74 |
| 292 | Power | 62 |
| 295 | Offensive | 68 |
| 259 | Defensive | 86 |
| N/A | SoS (Current) | N/A |
| 329 | SoS (Full Season) | 252 |
Fairfield#7494%
Mt St Mary's#2776%Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Fairfield 94%, Mt St Mary's 6% at Fairfield.
Fairfield's win probability against Mt St Mary's is trending down — from 93% to 90% over the last 6 updates.
Fairfield's win probability against Mt St Mary's has held at 93% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Fairfield's win probability against Mt St Mary's has held at 94% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Fairfield favored
Mt St Mary's favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Mt St Mary's | Neutral | At Fairfield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 93% | 95% | 96% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 93% | 95% | 96% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 93% | 95% | 96% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 93% | 95% | 96% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 93% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 93% | 95% | 96% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 93% | 95% | 96% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 93% | 95% | 96% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 90% | 93% | 94% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Mt St Mary's
Fairfield
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
15-15 (50%) |
Overall |
28-5 (84.8%) |
|
9-5 (64.3%) |
Home |
12-1 (92.3%) |
|
6-9 (40%) |
Away |
12-2 (85.7%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-3 (0%) |
|
3-9 (25%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
11-5 (68.8%) |
|
12-6 (66.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
17-0 (100%) |
|
6-4 (60%) |
Last 10 Games |
9-1 (90%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Mt St Mary's
Fairfield
| #196 Lehigh | Best Win | #27 Villanova |
| #350 Canisius | Worst Loss | #115 Quinnipiac |
| 29 pts vs #288 Mercyhurst | Largest MOV | 61 pts vs #306 Marist |
| 48 pts vs #19 Maryland | Largest MOD | 19 pts vs #17 Notre Dame |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Mt St Mary's
Fairfield
| 60.1 | Points per Game | 75 |
| 62.4 | Points Against | 56.5 |
| 63.1 | Home PPG | 79.6 |
| 61.2 | Home PA | 51.6 |
| 58.1 | Away PPG | 74.9 |
| 63.5 | Away PA | 58.2 |
| 405-517 | Opponent Record | 506-526 |
| 258.2 | Avg Opponent Rank | 228.2 |
| W 4 | Longest Streak | W 13 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Mt St Mary's
Fairfield
| Mar 7 | Merrimack (18-13) | L48-62 | Mar 21 | #17 Notre Dame (25-11) | L60-79 |
| Feb 28 | vs Rider (7-22) | W54-46 | Mar 9 | Quinnipiac (27-7) | W51-44 |
| Feb 26 | vs Sacred Heart (12-18) | W66-61 | Mar 8 | Merrimack (18-13) | W65-48 |
| Feb 21 | at Canisius (5-24) | L63-68 | Mar 6 | Sacred Heart (12-18) | W69-53 |
| Feb 19 | at Niagara (1-28) | W76-57 | Feb 28 | vs Sacred Heart (12-18) | W67-50 |
| Feb 12 | vs Fairfield (28-5) | L43-69 | Feb 21 | at Siena (13-17) | W81-51 |
| Feb 7 | at Sacred Heart (12-18) | W68-63 | Feb 19 | vs St Peter's (6-23) | W62-30 |
| Feb 5 | at Iona (19-12) | W63-62 | Feb 14 | at Quinnipiac (27-7) | W75-63 |
| Jan 31 | vs St Peter's (6-23) | L61-73 | Feb 12 | at Mt St Mary's (15-15) | W69-43 |
| Jan 29 | at Rider (7-22) | W70-59 | Feb 7 | vs Iona (19-12) | W82-46 |