Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: East Carolina 75%, Memphis 25% at East Carolina.
East Carolina's win probability against Memphis is trending down — from 67% to 64% over the last 6 updates.
East Carolina's win probability against Memphis is trending down — from 73% to 70% over the last 6 updates.
East Carolina's win probability against Memphis is trending down — from 78% to 75% over the last 6 updates.