Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Duke 83%, Syracuse 17% at Duke.
Duke's win probability against Syracuse has swung between 72% and 77% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 74% now.
Duke's win probability against Syracuse has held at 79% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Duke's win probability against Syracuse has held at 83% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.