Xavier at Dayton Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Dayton by 3.2
TOTAL POINTS
130
UPDATED
Wednesday, October 28, 2026
See this week's WCBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Xavier
Dayton 
|
79
C+
|
Overall |
85
B
|
|
81
B-
|
Power |
82
B-
|
|
76
C
|
Offensive |
87
B+
|
|
87
B+
|
Defensive |
73
C-
|
|
|
SoS (Current) |
|
|
93
A-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
85
B
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Xavier
Dayton
| 191 | Overall | 134 |
| 169 | Power | 159 |
| 218 | Offensive | 110 |
| 113 | Defensive | 241 |
| N/A | SoS (Current) | N/A |
| 54 | SoS (Full Season) | 129 |
Dayton#13458%
Xavier#19142%Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Dayton 58%, Xavier 42% at Dayton.
Dayton's win probability against Xavier has held at 45% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Dayton's win probability against Xavier has held at 52% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Dayton's win probability against Xavier has held at 58% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Dayton favored
Xavier favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Xavier | Neutral | At Dayton |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 42% | 48% | 54% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 44% | 51% | 57% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 45% | 51% | 58% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 45% | 51% | 58% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 45% | 52% | 58% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 45% | 51% | 58% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 46% | 52% | 59% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 46% | 52% | 58% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 45% | 52% | 58% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Xavier
Dayton
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
11-19 (36.7%) |
Overall |
17-14 (54.8%) |
|
8-9 (47.1%) |
Home |
8-6 (57.1%) |
|
3-9 (25%) |
Away |
7-6 (53.8%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
3-14 (17.6%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
5-8 (38.5%) |
|
8-5 (61.5%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
12-6 (66.7%) |
|
1-9 (10%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Xavier
Dayton
| #120 Cincinnati | Best Win | #48 Kansas |
| #220 DePaul | Worst Loss | #221 St Louis |
| 21 pts vs #158 Ohio | Largest MOV | 42 pts vs #288 Mercyhurst |
| 65 pts vs #4 Connecticut | Largest MOD | 37 pts vs #87 Purdue |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Xavier
Dayton
| 58.4 | Points per Game | 67 |
| 66.6 | Points Against | 67.5 |
| 59.4 | Home PPG | 69.4 |
| 64.2 | Home PA | 66.9 |
| 57.8 | Away PPG | 64 |
| 71.1 | Away PA | 66.7 |
| 503-451 | Opponent Record | 496-501 |
| 138.6 | Avg Opponent Rank | 164.8 |
| L 8 | Longest Streak | W 3 |
| L 8 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Xavier
Dayton
| Mar 6 | St John's (22-12) | L48-53 | Mar 6 | George Mason (23-10) | L85-87 |
| Mar 1 | vs Creighton (16-15) | L71-73 | Mar 5 | G Washington (17-18) | W62-54 |
| Feb 25 | at Marquette (17-12) | L65-77 | Feb 28 | vs VCU (8-23) | W79-62 |
| Feb 22 | at DePaul (8-24) | L67-76 | Feb 25 | at Loyola-Chicago (16-18) | W67-58 |
| Feb 18 | vs Seton Hall (19-13) | L55-64 | Feb 21 | at Davidson (21-12) | L67-79 |
| Feb 11 | vs Villanova (25-8) | L38-78 | Feb 14 | vs St Louis (11-21) | W65-63 |
| Feb 8 | at Providence (15-18) | L50-66 | Feb 11 | vs George Mason (23-10) | L61-72 |
| Feb 4 | at St John's (22-12) | L52-71 | Feb 7 | at St Joseph's PA (18-11) | W75-73 |
| Feb 1 | vs Butler (12-19) | W63-59 | Feb 4 | at La Salle (18-14) | W68-60 |
| Jan 28 | at #4 Connecticut (38-1) | L39-97 | Feb 1 | vs G Washington (17-18) | L54-66 |