W Michigan at Dayton Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Dayton by 11.3
TOTAL POINTS
126
UPDATED
Wednesday, October 28, 2026
See this week's WCBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
W Michigan
Dayton 
|
71
C-
|
Overall |
85
B
|
|
70
C-
|
Power |
82
B-
|
|
64
D
|
Offensive |
87
B+
|
|
83
B-
|
Defensive |
73
C-
|
|
|
SoS (Current) |
|
|
86
B
|
SoS (Full Season) |
85
B
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
W Michigan
Dayton
| 263 | Overall | 134 |
| 266 | Power | 159 |
| 322 | Offensive | 110 |
| 153 | Defensive | 241 |
| N/A | SoS (Current) | N/A |
| 119 | SoS (Full Season) | 129 |
Dayton#13477%
W Michigan#26323%Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Dayton 77%, W Michigan 23% at Dayton.
Dayton's win probability against W Michigan has held at 66% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Dayton's win probability against W Michigan has held at 72% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Dayton's win probability against W Michigan has held at 77% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Dayton favored
W Michigan favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At W Michigan | Neutral | At Dayton |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 67% | 73% | 78% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 68% | 73% | 78% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 68% | 74% | 79% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 68% | 74% | 79% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 69% | 74% | 79% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 69% | 74% | 79% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 68% | 74% | 79% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 68% | 74% | 79% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 66% | 72% | 77% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
W Michigan
Dayton
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
9-19 (32.1%) |
Overall |
17-14 (54.8%) |
|
5-8 (38.5%) |
Home |
8-6 (57.1%) |
|
4-11 (26.7%) |
Away |
7-6 (53.8%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
0-13 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
5-8 (38.5%) |
|
9-6 (60%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
12-6 (66.7%) |
|
3-7 (30%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
W Michigan
Dayton
| #162 Loyola-Chicago | Best Win | #48 Kansas |
| #305 N Illinois | Worst Loss | #221 St Louis |
| 18 pts vs #339 Buffalo | Largest MOV | 42 pts vs #288 Mercyhurst |
| 54 pts vs #22 Michigan St | Largest MOD | 37 pts vs #87 Purdue |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
W Michigan
Dayton
| 55.8 | Points per Game | 67 |
| 65 | Points Against | 67.5 |
| 58.7 | Home PPG | 69.4 |
| 62.2 | Home PA | 66.9 |
| 53.2 | Away PPG | 64 |
| 67.4 | Away PA | 66.7 |
| 399-456 | Opponent Record | 496-501 |
| 181.6 | Avg Opponent Rank | 164.8 |
| L 5 | Longest Streak | W 3 |
| L 3 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
W Michigan
Dayton
| Mar 7 | at Kent (13-16) | L60-67 | Mar 6 | George Mason (23-10) | L85-87 |
| Mar 4 | vs Toledo (16-15) | L49-56 | Mar 5 | G Washington (17-18) | W62-54 |
| Feb 28 | vs Massachusetts (23-7) | L48-64 | Feb 28 | vs VCU (8-23) | W79-62 |
| Feb 25 | at Buffalo (3-27) | W58-43 | Feb 25 | at Loyola-Chicago (16-18) | W67-58 |
| Feb 21 | vs N Illinois (7-23) | W65-60 | Feb 21 | at Davidson (21-12) | L67-79 |
| Feb 18 | at Bowling Green (13-14) | L63-67 | Feb 14 | vs St Louis (11-21) | W65-63 |
| Feb 14 | at C Michigan (17-12) | L67-70 | Feb 11 | vs George Mason (23-10) | L61-72 |
| Feb 10 | vs Miami OH (26-7) | L55-60 | Feb 7 | at St Joseph's PA (18-11) | W75-73 |
| Feb 7 | vs South Alabama (17-19) | W73-67 | Feb 4 | at La Salle (18-14) | W68-60 |
| Feb 4 | at Ohio (17-14) | L37-76 | Feb 1 | vs G Washington (17-18) | L54-66 |