Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: St John's 64%, Dayton 36% at a neutral site.
St John's' win probability against Dayton is trending down — from 63% to 58% over the last 6 updates.
St John's' win probability against Dayton is trending down — from 69% to 64% over the last 6 updates.
St John's' win probability against Dayton is trending down — from 75% to 70% over the last 6 updates.