Illinois St at Dayton Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Dayton by 1.34
TOTAL POINTS
138
UPDATED
Wednesday, October 28, 2026
See this week's WCBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Dayton
Illinois St 
|
85
B
|
Overall |
86
B
|
|
82
B-
|
Power |
84
B
|
|
87
B+
|
Offensive |
83
B-
|
|
73
C-
|
Defensive |
81
B-
|
|
|
SoS (Current) |
|
|
85
B
|
SoS (Full Season) |
76
C
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Dayton
Illinois St
| 134 | Overall | 124 |
| 159 | Power | 139 |
| 110 | Offensive | 145 |
| 241 | Defensive | 172 |
| N/A | SoS (Current) | N/A |
| 129 | SoS (Full Season) | 210 |
Dayton#13454%
Illinois St#12446%Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Dayton 54%, Illinois St 46% at Dayton.
Dayton's win probability against Illinois St is trending up — from 38% to 41% over the last 6 updates.
Dayton's win probability against Illinois St has held at 47% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Dayton's win probability against Illinois St is trending up — from 51% to 54% over the last 6 updates.
Dayton favored
Illinois St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Illinois St | Neutral | At Dayton |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 34% | 40% | 47% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 35% | 41% | 48% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 38% | 45% | 51% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 40% | 46% | 53% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 40% | 47% | 53% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 38% | 44% | 51% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 39% | 45% | 52% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 40% | 47% | 53% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 41% | 47% | 54% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Dayton
Illinois St
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
17-14 (54.8%) |
Overall |
24-15 (61.5%) |
|
8-6 (57.1%) |
Home |
17-1 (94.4%) |
|
7-6 (53.8%) |
Away |
6-9 (40%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
5-8 (38.5%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
8-10 (44.4%) |
|
12-6 (66.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
16-5 (76.2%) |
|
6-4 (60%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Dayton
Illinois St
| #48 Kansas | Best Win | #103 Belmont |
| #221 St Louis | Worst Loss | #287 S Illinois |
| 42 pts vs #288 Mercyhurst | Largest MOV | 49 pts vs #345 Chicago St |
| 37 pts vs #87 Purdue | Largest MOD | 41 pts vs #38 Nebraska |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Dayton
Illinois St
| 67 | Points per Game | 70.5 |
| 67.5 | Points Against | 66.7 |
| 69.4 | Home PPG | 77.5 |
| 66.9 | Home PA | 63.1 |
| 64 | Away PPG | 66.1 |
| 66.7 | Away PA | 70.5 |
| 496-501 | Opponent Record | 608-659 |
| 164.8 | Avg Opponent Rank | 185.8 |
| W 3 | Longest Streak | L 4 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Dayton
Illinois St
| Mar 6 | George Mason (23-10) | L85-87 | Apr 4 | at Marshall (27-9) | L41-66 |
| Mar 5 | G Washington (17-18) | W62-54 | Apr 4 | Marshall (27-9) | L41-66 |
| Feb 28 | vs VCU (8-23) | W79-62 | Apr 1 | at South Dakota (23-10) | W67-60 |
| Feb 25 | at Loyola-Chicago (16-18) | W67-58 | Mar 30 | vs G Washington (17-18) | W61-53 |
| Feb 21 | at Davidson (21-12) | L67-79 | Mar 27 | vs Abilene Chr (21-11) | W59-55 |
| Feb 14 | vs St Louis (11-21) | W65-63 | Mar 22 | vs UTRGV (19-14) | W81-52 |
| Feb 11 | vs George Mason (23-10) | L61-72 | Mar 14 | Evansville (10-25) | L70-75 |
| Feb 7 | at St Joseph's PA (18-11) | W75-73 | Mar 13 | Drake (12-20) | W69-62 |
| Feb 4 | at La Salle (18-14) | W68-60 | Mar 8 | at Bradley (19-13) | W66-65 |
| Feb 1 | vs G Washington (17-18) | L54-66 | Mar 5 | at Drake (12-20) | L55-73 |