Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Duke 78%, Columbia 22% at Columbia.
Duke's win probability against Columbia is trending down — from 87% to 78% over the last 6 updates.
Duke's win probability against Columbia is trending down — from 90% to 83% over the last 6 updates.
Duke's win probability against Columbia is trending down — from 92% to 86% over the last 6 updates.