Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Howard 87%, Chicago St 13% at Chicago St.
Howard's win probability against Chicago St has held at 87% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Howard's win probability against Chicago St has held at 90% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Howard's win probability against Chicago St has held at 92% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.