Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Mercyhurst 69%, Central Conn 31% at Central Conn.
Mercyhurst's win probability against Central Conn is trending down — from 73% to 69% over the last 6 updates.
Mercyhurst's win probability against Central Conn is trending down — from 78% to 75% over the last 6 updates.
Mercyhurst's win probability against Central Conn has held at 80% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.