Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: C Michigan 60%, Tulsa 40% at C Michigan.
C Michigan's win probability against Tulsa has held at 47% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
C Michigan's win probability against Tulsa has held at 53% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
C Michigan's win probability against Tulsa has held at 60% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.