Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Belmont 68%, Dayton 32% at Belmont.
Belmont's win probability against Dayton is trending down — from 60% to 55% over the last 6 updates.
Belmont's win probability against Dayton is trending down — from 66% to 62% over the last 6 updates.
Belmont's win probability against Dayton is trending down — from 72% to 68% over the last 6 updates.