Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Columbia 71%, Belmont 29% at Belmont.
Columbia's win probability against Belmont is trending up — from 59% to 71% over the last 6 updates.
Columbia's win probability against Belmont is trending up — from 66% to 77% over the last 6 updates.
Columbia's win probability against Belmont is trending up — from 71% to 81% over the last 6 updates.