Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Abilene Chr 60%, Cent Arkansas 40% at Abilene Chr.
Abilene Chr's win probability against Cent Arkansas is trending down — from 50% to 47% over the last 6 updates.
Abilene Chr's win probability against Cent Arkansas has held at 54% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Abilene Chr's win probability against Cent Arkansas is trending down — from 63% to 60% over the last 6 updates.