Amanda Lemos vs Carla Esparza Fight Prediction
Win Probability
VS
DIV. RANK
#22
RECORD
9-7
RATINGS UPDATED
Oct 11, 2026
RECORD
10-6
DIV. RANK
#25
See this week's UFC predictions →
Ratings
Amanda Lemos
Carla Esparza
|
82
B-
|
Performance |
80
B-
|
|
88
B+
|
Power |
82
B-
|
|
86
B
|
Offensive |
79
C+
|
|
89
B+
|
Defensive |
87
B+
|
Rankings
Amanda Lemos
Carla Esparza
| 22 | Overall | 25 |
| 14 | Power | 22 |
| 17 | Offensive | 26 |
| 13 | Defensive | 16 |
Records
Amanda Lemos
Carla Esparza
| 9-7 (56.3%) | Overall | 10-6 (62.5%) |
| 1-4 (20%) | vs. Top 10 | 2-1 (66.7%) |
| 6-7 (46.2%) | vs. >.500 Fighters | 8-5 (61.5%) |
| 3-0 (100%) | vs. <.500 Fighters | 2-1 (66.7%) |
| 1-4 (20%) | Last 5 Fights | 3-2 (60%) |
Superlatives
Amanda Lemos
Carla Esparza
|
Women's Strawweight #5 Mackenzie Dern (12-5) 2024-02-17 UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria — Round 3 U-DEC |
Best Win |
Women's Strawweight #5 Alexa Grasso (10-5) 2019-09-21 UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens — Round 3 M-DEC |
|
Women's Strawweight #27 Jessica Andrade (17-13) 2022-04-23 UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade — Round 1 SUB Arm Triangle |
Worst Loss |
Women's Strawweight #28 Tecia Pennington (2-2) 2024-10-05 UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. — Round 3 U-DEC |
Other Statistics
Amanda Lemos
Carla Esparza
| 5 (31.3%) | Finishes | 2 (12.5%) |
| 3 (18.8%) | KOs | 1 (6.3%) |
| 2 (12.5%) | Submissions | 1 (6.3%) |
| 4 (25%) | Decisions | 8 (50%) |
| 117-77 | Opponent Record | 125-85 |
| 13.6 | Avg. Opponent Rank | 16.3 |
| W 5 | Long Streak | W 6 |
| L 3 | Current Streak | L 2 |
Fight Stats
Amanda Lemos
Carla Esparza
| 39 | Age | 39 |
| 2.84 | Strikes Landed / Min | 2.19 |
| 3.22 | Strikes Absorbed / Min | 2.87 |
| -0.38 | Striking Differential | -0.68 |
| 0.93 | Takedowns / 15 Min | 3.28 |
| 0.51 | Knockdowns / 15 Min | 0.00 |
| 0.68 | Sub. Attempts / 15 Min | 0.27 |
| 177 min | UFC Fight Time | 224 min |
Last 5 Fights
Amanda Lemos
Carla Esparza
| 2026-08-08 | #1 Alexia Thainara (4-0)Round 3 U-DEC · UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld | L | 2024-10-05 | #28 Tecia Pennington (2-2)Round 3 U-DEC · UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. | L |
| 2026-03-14 | #8 Gillian Robertson (14-7)Round 3 U-DEC · UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos | L | 2022-11-12 | #11 Zhang Weili (10-3)Round 2 SUB Rear Naked Choke · UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira | L |
| 2025-09-13 | #4 Tatiana Suarez (9-1)Round 3 U-DEC · UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva | L | 2022-05-07 | #16 Rose Namajunas (12-7)Round 5 S-DEC · UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje | W |
| 2025-03-08 | #15 Iasmin Lucindo (5-2)Round 3 U-DEC · UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev | W | 2021-05-22 | #25 Yan Xiaonan (9-5)Round 2 KO/TKO Punches · UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt | W |
| 2024-07-20 | #6 Virna Jandiroba (9-4)Round 2 SUB Armbar · UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba | L | 2020-07-25 | #36 Marina Rodriguez (7-6)Round 3 S-DEC · UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till | W |