Prediction Updated: Sunday June 29, 2025
| SIMULATION RESULTS | ||
|---|---|---|
|
Lightweight
Islam Makhachev 74 |
WIN PROBABILITY Percent chance each fighter has to win |
Lightweight
Charles Oliveira 26 |
| RATINGS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A+ | 99 | Performance | 94 | A |
| A+ | 99 | Power | 96 | A |
|
A+
|
99
|
Offensive |
96
|
A
|
|
A+
|
99
|
Defensive |
97
|
A
|
| RANKINGS | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Performance | 13 |
| 1 | Power | 8 |
| 1 | Offensive | 9 |
| 2 | Defensive | 7 |
| RECORDS | ||
|---|---|---|
| 16-1 (94.1%) | Overall | 23-11 (67.6%) |
| 3-0 (100%) | Versus Current Top 10 | 0-3 (0%) |
| 15-1 (93.8%) | Versus > .500 Fighters | 12-11 (52.2%) |
| 1-0 (100%) | Versus < .500 Fighters | 11-0 (100%) |
| 5-0 (100%) | Last 5 Fights | 2-3 (40%) |
| SUPERLATIVES | ||
|---|---|---|
| Lightweight #5 Alexander Volkanovski (14-3) 2023-10-21 UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 Round 1 KO/TKO Kick | Best Win | Lightweight #17 Beneil Dariush (17-6) 2023-06-10 UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana Round 1 KO/TKO Punches |
| Islam Makhachev has not lost to any currently ranked opponents. | Worst Loss | Lightweight #46 Jim Miller (27-18) 2010-12-11 UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2 Round 1 SUB Kneebar |
| OTHER STATISTICS | ||
|---|---|---|
| 11 (64.7%) | Finishes | 20 (58.8%) |
| 3 (17.6%) | KOs | 4 (11.8%) |
| 8 (47.1%) | Submissions | 16 (47.1%) |
| 5 (29.4%) | Decisions | 3 (8.8%) |
| 187-103 | Opponent Record | 408-269 |
| 23.9 | Average Opponent Rank | 46.6 |
| W 15 | Long Streak | W 11 |
| W 15 | Current Streak | L 1 |
| LAST 5 FIGHTS | ||
|---|---|---|
| W 2025-01-18 Lightweight #32 Renato Moicano (12-7) Round 1 SUB D'Arce Choke UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano |
L 2025-06-28 Lightweight #2 Ilia Topuria (9-0) Round 1 KO/TKO Punch UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira |
|
| W 2024-06-01 Lightweight #31 Dustin Poirier (22-8) Round 5 SUB D'Arce Choke UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier |
W 2024-11-16 Lightweight #87 Michael Chandler (2-5) Round 5 U-DEC UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic |
|
| W 2023-10-21 Lightweight #5 Alexander Volkanovski (14-3) Round 1 KO/TKO Kick UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 |
L 2024-04-13 Lightweight #5 Arman Tsarukyan (8-2) Round 3 S-DEC UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill |
|
| W 2023-02-11 Lightweight #5 Alexander Volkanovski (14-3) Round 5 U-DEC UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski |
W 2023-06-10 Lightweight #17 Beneil Dariush (17-6) Round 1 KO/TKO Punches UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana |
|
| W 2022-10-22 Lightweight #13 Charles Oliveira (23-11) Round 2 SUB Arm Triangle UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev |
L 2022-10-22 Lightweight #1 Islam Makhachev (16-1) Round 2 SUB Arm Triangle UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev |