Prediction Updated: Sunday June 29, 2025
| SIMULATION RESULTS | ||
|---|---|---|
|
Featherweight
Aljamain Sterling 51 |
WIN PROBABILITY Percent chance each fighter has to win |
Bantamweight
Sean O'Malley 49 |
| RATINGS Fighter ratings and rankings are relative to respective weight classes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A- | 91 | Performance | 96 | A |
| B+ | 89 | Power | 95 | A |
|
B
|
86
|
Offensive |
95
|
A
|
|
A-
|
91
|
Defensive |
96
|
A
|
| RANKINGS | ||
|---|---|---|
| 19 | Performance | 8 |
| 24 | Power | 9 |
| 30 | Offensive | 10 |
| 20 | Defensive | 7 |
| RECORDS | ||
|---|---|---|
| 16-5 (76.2%) | Overall | 10-3 (76.9%) |
| 1-2 (33.3%) | Versus Current Top 10 | 0-2 (0%) |
| 13-4 (76.5%) | Versus > .500 Fighters | 5-3 (62.5%) |
| 3-1 (75%) | Versus < .500 Fighters | 5-0 (100%) |
| 3-2 (60%) | Last 5 Fights | 3-2 (60%) |
| SUPERLATIVES | ||
|---|---|---|
| Bantamweight #9 Cory Sandhagen (11-4) 2020-06-06 UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer Round 1 SUB Rear Naked Choke | Best Win | Bantamweight #11 Petr Yan (10-4) 2022-10-22 UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev Round 3 S-DEC |
| Bantamweight #8 Sean O'Malley (10-3) 2023-08-19 UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley Round 2 KO/TKO Punches | Worst Loss | Bantamweight #22 Marlon Vera (15-9) 2020-08-15 UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 Round 1 KO/TKO Elbows |
| OTHER STATISTICS | ||
|---|---|---|
| 6 (28.6%) | Finishes | 6 (46.2%) |
| 2 (9.5%) | KOs | 6 (46.2%) |
| 4 (19%) | Submissions | 0 (0%) |
| 9 (42.9%) | Decisions | 4 (30.8%) |
| 159-101 | Opponent Record | 113-75 |
| 33.6 | Average Opponent Rank | 19.9 |
| W 9 | Long Streak | W 6 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 2 |
| LAST 5 FIGHTS | ||
|---|---|---|
| L 2024-12-07 Featherweight #2 Movsar Evloev (9-0) Round 3 U-DEC UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura |
L 2025-06-07 Bantamweight #1 Merab Dvalishvili (13-2) Round 3 SUB Guillotine Choke UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 |
|
| W 2024-04-13 Featherweight #70 Calvin Kattar (7-7) Round 3 U-DEC UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill |
L 2024-09-14 Bantamweight #1 Merab Dvalishvili (13-2) Round 5 U-DEC UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC |
|
| L 2023-08-19 Bantamweight #8 Sean O'Malley (10-3) Round 2 KO/TKO Punches UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley |
W 2024-03-09 Bantamweight #22 Marlon Vera (15-9) Round 5 U-DEC UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 |
|
| W 2023-05-06 Bantamweight #48 Henry Cejudo (10-5) Round 5 S-DEC UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo |
W 2023-08-19 Bantamweight #19 Aljamain Sterling (16-5) Round 2 KO/TKO Punches UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley |
|
| W 2022-10-22 Bantamweight TJ Dillashaw (13-5) Round 2 KO/TKO Punches UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev |
W 2022-10-22 Bantamweight #11 Petr Yan (10-4) Round 3 S-DEC UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev |