Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 4 (Oct 30), 2026-27: Boston 51%, Washington 49% at Washington.
Boston's win probability against Washington is trending up — from 46% to 51% over the last 6 updates.
Boston's win probability against Washington is trending up — from 50% to 55% over the last 6 updates.
Boston's win probability against Washington has swung between 53% and 62% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 58% now.