Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 4 (Oct 31), 2026-27: Vegas 54%, New Jersey 46% at Vegas.
Vegas' win probability against New Jersey is trending down — from 58% to 46% over the last 6 updates.
Vegas' win probability against New Jersey is trending down — from 61% to 50% over the last 6 updates.
Vegas' win probability against New Jersey is trending down — from 65% to 54% over the last 6 updates.