Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 4 (Oct 31), 2026-27: Tampa Bay 60%, Anaheim 40% at Tampa Bay.
Tampa Bay's win probability against Anaheim is trending down — from 64% to 52% over the last 6 updates.
Tampa Bay's win probability against Anaheim is trending down — from 68% to 56% over the last 6 updates.
Tampa Bay's win probability against Anaheim is trending down — from 71% to 60% over the last 6 updates.