Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 4 (Oct 30), 2026-27: St. Louis 62%, Calgary 38% at St. Louis.
St. Louis' win probability against Calgary has swung between 48% and 57% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 54% now.
St. Louis' win probability against Calgary has swung between 52% and 61% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 58% now.
St. Louis' win probability against Calgary has swung between 56% and 65% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 62% now.