Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 6 (Nov 12), 2026-27: Carolina 59%, Seattle 41% at Seattle.
Carolina's win probability against Seattle has swung between 45% and 59% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 59% now.
Carolina's win probability against Seattle has swung between 49% and 63% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 63% now.
Carolina's win probability against Seattle has swung between 53% and 66% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 66% now.