Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 4 (Oct 31), 2026-27: Pittsburgh 50%, Vegas 50% at Pittsburgh.
Pittsburgh's win probability against Vegas has swung between 40% and 45% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 42% now.
Pittsburgh's win probability against Vegas has swung between 44% and 49% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 46% now.
Pittsburgh's win probability against Vegas has swung between 48% and 53% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 50% now.