Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 4 (Oct 31), 2026-27: Pittsburgh 53%, St. Louis 47% at Pittsburgh.
Pittsburgh's win probability against St. Louis is trending down — from 58% to 45% over the last 6 updates.
Pittsburgh's win probability against St. Louis is trending down — from 62% to 49% over the last 6 updates.
Pittsburgh's win probability against St. Louis is trending down — from 65% to 53% over the last 6 updates.