Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 4 (Oct 30), 2026-27: Dallas 56%, Ottawa 44% at Dallas.
Dallas' win probability against Ottawa has held at 48% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Dallas' win probability against Ottawa has held at 52% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Dallas' win probability against Ottawa has held at 56% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.