Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 4 (Oct 30), 2026-27: Dallas 57%, Chicago 43% at Chicago.
Dallas' win probability against Chicago is trending down — from 70% to 57% over the last 6 updates.
Dallas' win probability against Chicago is trending down — from 73% to 61% over the last 6 updates.
Dallas' win probability against Chicago is trending down — from 76% to 65% over the last 6 updates.