Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 1 (Oct 10), 2026-27: Colorado 50%, Carolina 50% at Carolina.
Colorado's win probability against Carolina has held at 50% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Colorado's win probability against Carolina has held at 53% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Colorado's win probability against Carolina is trending down — from 59% to 56% over the last 6 updates.