Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 4 (Oct 31), 2026-27: St. Louis 52%, Calgary 48% at Calgary.
St. Louis' win probability against Calgary has swung between 48% and 57% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 52% now.
St. Louis' win probability against Calgary has swung between 52% and 61% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 56% now.
St. Louis' win probability against Calgary has swung between 56% and 65% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 60% now.