Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Utah
Miami
|
64
D
|
Overall |
77
C+
|
|
65
D
|
Power |
84
B
|
|
92
A-
6099
|
Offensive |
99
A+
6099
|
|
Utah
6099
Miami
6099
|
||
|
60
D-
6099
|
Defensive |
71
C-
6099
|
|
Utah
6099
Miami
6099
|
||
|
83
B-
|
SoS (Current) |
73
C-
|
|
83
B-
|
SoS (Future) |
73
C-
|
Utah
Miami
| 27 | Overall | 17 |
| 26 | Power | 12 |
| 6 | Offensive | 1 |
| 30 | Defensive | 22 |
| 13 | SoS (Current) | 20 |
| 13 | SoS (Future) | 20 |
Wk 35 (Jun 15), 2025-26: Miami 71%, Utah 29% at Utah.
Miami's win probability against Utah has held at 71% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Miami's win probability against Utah has held at 76% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Miami's win probability against Utah has held at 81% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Utah | Neutral | At Miami |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 6 | 79% | 83% | 87% |
| Wk 7 | 77% | 81% | 85% |
| Wk 8 | 74% | 79% | 83% |
| Wk 9 | 70% | 75% | 80% |
| Wk 10 | 67% | 73% | 78% |
| Wk 11 | 71% | 76% | 81% |
| Wk 12 | 69% | 74% | 79% |
| Wk 13 | 65% | 71% | 76% |
| Wk 14 | 64% | 70% | 75% |
| Wk 15 | 69% | 74% | 79% |
| Wk 16 | 67% | 73% | 78% |
| Wk 17 | 67% | 73% | 78% |
| Wk 18 | 69% | 74% | 79% |
| Wk 19 | 69% | 74% | 79% |
| Wk 20 | 70% | 76% | 80% |
| Wk 21 | 72% | 77% | 81% |
| Wk 22 | 70% | 75% | 80% |
| Wk 23 | 70% | 76% | 80% |
| Wk 24 | 71% | 76% | 80% |
| Wk 25 | 69% | 74% | 79% |
| Wk 26 | 71% | 76% | 81% |
| Wk 27 | 71% | 76% | 81% |
| Wk 28 | 71% | 76% | 80% |
| Wk 29 | 71% | 76% | 80% |
| Wk 30 | 71% | 76% | 80% |
| Wk 31 | 71% | 76% | 80% |
| Wk 32 | 71% | 76% | 81% |
| Wk 33 | 71% | 76% | 81% |
| Wk 34 | 71% | 76% | 81% |
| Wk 35 | 71% | 76% | 81% |
Utah
Miami
|
1-1 (50%) |
Head to Head |
1-1 (50%) |
|
22-59 (27.2%) |
Overall |
43-40 (51.8%) |
|
14-26 (35%) |
Home |
26-15 (63.4%) |
|
8-33 (19.5%) |
Away |
17-25 (40.5%) |
|
3-10 (23.1%) |
Versus Top 5 |
5-10 (33.3%) |
|
9-40 (18.4%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
21-31 (40.4%) |
|
13-19 (40.6%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
22-9 (71%) |
|
1-9 (10%) |
Last 10 Games |
4-6 (40%) |
Utah
Miami
| #2 San Antonio | Best Win | #1 Oklahoma City |
| #30 Washington | Worst Loss | #29 Indiana |
| 46 pts vs #25 Memphis | Largest MOV | 43 pts vs #21 Chicago |
| 55 pts vs #16 Charlotte | Largest MOD | 30 pts vs #16 Charlotte |
Utah
Miami
| 117.6 | Points per Game | 120.9 |
| 125.9 | Points Against | 118.6 |
| 121.3 | Home PPG | 123.5 |
| 126.2 | Home PA | 118.3 |
| 114 | Away PPG | 118.5 |
| 125.6 | Away PA | 119 |
| 3640-3492 | Opponent Record | 3689-3645 |
| 14.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 15.2 |
| L 10 | Longest Streak | W 7 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Utah
Miami
| Apr 12 | at LA Lakers (56-35) | L107-131 | Apr 14 | at Charlotte (45-39) | L126-127 |
| Apr 10 | vs Memphis (25-57) | W147-101 | Apr 12 | vs Atlanta (48-40) | W143-117 |
| Apr 7 | at New Orleans (26-56) | L137-156 | Apr 10 | at Washington (17-65) | W140-117 |
| Apr 5 | at #1 Oklahoma City (75-21) | L111-146 | Apr 9 | at Toronto (49-40) | L114-128 |
| Apr 3 | at Houston (54-34) | L106-140 | Apr 7 | at Toronto (49-40) | L95-121 |
| Apr 1 | vs Denver (56-32) | L117-130 | Apr 4 | vs Washington (17-65) | W152-136 |
| Mar 30 | vs Cleveland (60-40) | L113-122 | Apr 1 | vs #5 Boston (59-30) | L129-147 |
| Mar 28 | at Phoenix (46-42) | L109-134 | Mar 30 | vs Philadelphia (50-44) | W119-109 |
| Mar 27 | at Denver (56-32) | L129-135 | Mar 29 | at Indiana (19-63) | L118-135 |
| Mar 25 | vs Washington (17-65) | L110-133 | Mar 27 | at Cleveland (60-40) | L128-149 |
vs
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