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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 2 (Oct 30), 2026-27: Portland 62%, Philadelphia 38% at Portland.
Portland's win probability against Philadelphia has swung between 38% and 49% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 49% now.
Portland's win probability against Philadelphia has swung between 45% and 55% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 55% now.
Portland's win probability against Philadelphia has swung between 51% and 62% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 62% now.