Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Miami
Denver
|
77
C+
|
Overall |
92
A-
|
|
84
B
|
Power |
91
A-
|
|
99
A+
6099
|
Offensive |
98
A+
6099
|
|
Miami
6099
Denver
6099
|
||
|
71
C-
6099
|
Defensive |
73
C-
6099
|
|
Miami
6099
Denver
6099
|
||
|
73
C-
|
SoS (Current) |
65
D
|
|
73
C-
|
SoS (Future) |
65
D
|
Miami
Denver
| 17 | Overall | 6 |
| 12 | Power | 7 |
| 1 | Offensive | 2 |
| 22 | Defensive | 20 |
| 20 | SoS (Current) | 26 |
| 20 | SoS (Future) | 26 |
Wk 35 (Jun 15), 2025-26: Miami 52%, Denver 48% at Miami.
Miami's win probability against Denver has held at 39% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Miami's win probability against Denver has held at 45% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Miami's win probability against Denver has held at 52% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Denver | Neutral | At Miami |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 6 | 41% | 47% | 54% |
| Wk 7 | 41% | 48% | 54% |
| Wk 8 | 35% | 41% | 48% |
| Wk 9 | 30% | 36% | 42% |
| Wk 10 | 30% | 35% | 41% |
| Wk 11 | 39% | 45% | 51% |
| Wk 12 | 41% | 47% | 53% |
| Wk 13 | 38% | 44% | 51% |
| Wk 14 | 40% | 46% | 53% |
| Wk 15 | 41% | 48% | 54% |
| Wk 16 | 40% | 47% | 53% |
| Wk 17 | 41% | 48% | 54% |
| Wk 18 | 45% | 51% | 57% |
| Wk 19 | 43% | 49% | 56% |
| Wk 20 | 48% | 54% | 60% |
| Wk 21 | 46% | 52% | 59% |
| Wk 22 | 43% | 49% | 56% |
| Wk 23 | 42% | 48% | 55% |
| Wk 24 | 40% | 46% | 52% |
| Wk 25 | 37% | 43% | 49% |
| Wk 26 | 37% | 44% | 50% |
| Wk 27 | 38% | 44% | 51% |
| Wk 28 | 39% | 45% | 51% |
| Wk 29 | 39% | 45% | 51% |
| Wk 30 | 39% | 45% | 52% |
| Wk 31 | 39% | 45% | 52% |
| Wk 32 | 39% | 45% | 52% |
| Wk 33 | 39% | 45% | 52% |
| Wk 34 | 39% | 45% | 52% |
| Wk 35 | 39% | 45% | 52% |
Miami
Denver
|
1-1 (50%) |
Head to Head |
1-1 (50%) |
|
43-40 (51.8%) |
Overall |
56-32 (63.6%) |
|
26-15 (63.4%) |
Home |
30-14 (68.2%) |
|
17-25 (40.5%) |
Away |
26-18 (59.1%) |
|
5-10 (33.3%) |
Versus Top 5 |
6-8 (42.9%) |
|
21-31 (40.4%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
28-23 (54.9%) |
|
22-9 (71%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
28-9 (75.7%) |
|
4-6 (40%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
Miami
Denver
| #1 Oklahoma City | Best Win | #1 Oklahoma City |
| #29 Indiana | Worst Loss | #28 Brooklyn |
| 43 pts vs #21 Chicago | Largest MOV | 54 pts vs #18 Portland |
| 30 pts vs #16 Charlotte | Largest MOD | 39 pts vs #3 New York |
Miami
Denver
| 120.9 | Points per Game | 121.1 |
| 118.6 | Points Against | 116.6 |
| 123.5 | Home PPG | 120.6 |
| 118.3 | Home PA | 115 |
| 118.5 | Away PPG | 121.5 |
| 119 | Away PA | 118.2 |
| 3689-3645 | Opponent Record | 3896-3874 |
| 15.2 | Avg Opponent Rank | 15.5 |
| W 7 | Longest Streak | W 13 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Miami
Denver
| Apr 14 | at Charlotte (45-39) | L126-127 | Apr 30 | at Minnesota (55-39) | L98-110 |
| Apr 12 | vs Atlanta (48-40) | W143-117 | Apr 27 | vs Minnesota (55-39) | W125-113 |
| Apr 10 | at Washington (17-65) | W140-117 | Apr 25 | at Minnesota (55-39) | L96-112 |
| Apr 9 | at Toronto (49-40) | L114-128 | Apr 23 | at Minnesota (55-39) | L96-113 |
| Apr 7 | at Toronto (49-40) | L95-121 | Apr 20 | vs Minnesota (55-39) | L114-119 |
| Apr 4 | vs Washington (17-65) | W152-136 | Apr 18 | vs Minnesota (55-39) | W116-105 |
| Apr 1 | vs #5 Boston (59-30) | L129-147 | Apr 12 | at #2 San Antonio (75-31) | W128-118 |
| Mar 30 | vs Philadelphia (50-44) | W119-109 | Apr 10 | vs #1 Oklahoma City (75-21) | W127-107 |
| Mar 29 | at Indiana (19-63) | L118-135 | Apr 8 | vs Memphis (25-57) | W136-119 |
| Mar 27 | at Cleveland (60-40) | L128-149 | Apr 6 | vs Portland (43-44) | W137-132 |
vs
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