Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Miami
Los Angeles
|
77
C+
|
Overall |
91
A-
|
|
84
B
|
Power |
82
B-
|
|
99
A+
6099
|
Offensive |
82
B-
6099
|
|
Miami
6099
Los Angeles
6099
|
||
|
71
C-
6099
|
Defensive |
84
B
6099
|
|
Miami
6099
Los Angeles
6099
|
||
|
73
C-
|
SoS (Current) |
84
B
|
|
73
C-
|
SoS (Future) |
84
B
|
Miami
Los Angeles
| 17 | Overall | 7 |
| 12 | Power | 14 |
| 1 | Offensive | 14 |
| 22 | Defensive | 12 |
| 20 | SoS (Current) | 12 |
| 20 | SoS (Future) | 12 |
Wk 35 (Jun 15), 2025-26: LA Lakers 55%, Miami 45% at LA Lakers.
LA Lakers' win probability against Miami has held at 42% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
LA Lakers' win probability against Miami has held at 48% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
LA Lakers' win probability against Miami has held at 55% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Miami | Neutral | At LA Lakers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 6 | 32% | 38% | 45% |
| Wk 7 | 31% | 37% | 43% |
| Wk 8 | 34% | 40% | 46% |
| Wk 9 | 38% | 44% | 51% |
| Wk 10 | 35% | 41% | 47% |
| Wk 11 | 31% | 37% | 43% |
| Wk 12 | 33% | 39% | 45% |
| Wk 13 | 35% | 41% | 47% |
| Wk 14 | 38% | 44% | 50% |
| Wk 15 | 37% | 44% | 50% |
| Wk 16 | 39% | 46% | 52% |
| Wk 17 | 37% | 43% | 50% |
| Wk 18 | 34% | 40% | 46% |
| Wk 19 | 34% | 40% | 46% |
| Wk 20 | 34% | 40% | 47% |
| Wk 21 | 35% | 42% | 48% |
| Wk 22 | 39% | 46% | 52% |
| Wk 23 | 40% | 47% | 53% |
| Wk 24 | 41% | 48% | 54% |
| Wk 25 | 43% | 49% | 55% |
| Wk 26 | 42% | 48% | 55% |
| Wk 27 | 43% | 50% | 56% |
| Wk 28 | 43% | 50% | 56% |
| Wk 29 | 42% | 49% | 55% |
| Wk 30 | 42% | 49% | 55% |
| Wk 31 | 42% | 48% | 55% |
| Wk 32 | 42% | 48% | 55% |
| Wk 33 | 42% | 48% | 55% |
| Wk 34 | 42% | 48% | 55% |
| Wk 35 | 42% | 48% | 55% |
Miami
Los Angeles
|
0-2 (0%) |
Head to Head |
2-0 (100%) |
|
43-40 (51.8%) |
Overall |
56-35 (61.5%) |
|
26-15 (63.4%) |
Home |
29-16 (64.4%) |
|
17-25 (40.5%) |
Away |
27-19 (58.7%) |
|
5-10 (33.3%) |
Versus Top 5 |
2-16 (11.1%) |
|
21-31 (40.4%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
27-29 (48.2%) |
|
22-9 (71%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
29-6 (82.9%) |
|
4-6 (40%) |
Last 10 Games |
4-6 (40%) |
Miami
Los Angeles
| #1 Oklahoma City | Best Win | #2 San Antonio |
| #29 Indiana | Worst Loss | #26 Sacramento |
| 43 pts vs #21 Chicago | Largest MOV | 31 pts vs #30 Washington |
| 30 pts vs #16 Charlotte | Largest MOD | 43 pts vs #1 Oklahoma City |
Miami
Los Angeles
| 120.9 | Points per Game | 114.7 |
| 118.6 | Points Against | 113.9 |
| 123.5 | Home PPG | 116.3 |
| 118.3 | Home PA | 113.4 |
| 118.5 | Away PPG | 113.2 |
| 119 | Away PA | 114.3 |
| 3689-3645 | Opponent Record | 4147-3871 |
| 15.2 | Avg Opponent Rank | 14.8 |
| W 7 | Longest Streak | W 9 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 4 |
Miami
Los Angeles
| Apr 14 | at Charlotte (45-39) | L126-127 | May 11 | vs #1 Oklahoma City (75-21) | L110-115 |
| Apr 12 | vs Atlanta (48-40) | W143-117 | May 9 | vs #1 Oklahoma City (75-21) | L108-131 |
| Apr 10 | at Washington (17-65) | W140-117 | May 7 | at #1 Oklahoma City (75-21) | L107-125 |
| Apr 9 | at Toronto (49-40) | L114-128 | May 5 | at #1 Oklahoma City (75-21) | L90-108 |
| Apr 7 | at Toronto (49-40) | L95-121 | May 1 | at Houston (54-34) | W98-78 |
| Apr 4 | vs Washington (17-65) | W152-136 | Apr 29 | vs Houston (54-34) | L93-99 |
| Apr 1 | vs #5 Boston (59-30) | L129-147 | Apr 26 | at Houston (54-34) | L96-115 |
| Mar 30 | vs Philadelphia (50-44) | W119-109 | Apr 24 | at Houston (54-34) | W112-108 |
| Mar 29 | at Indiana (19-63) | L118-135 | Apr 21 | vs Houston (54-34) | W101-94 |
| Mar 27 | at Cleveland (60-40) | L128-149 | Apr 18 | vs Houston (54-34) | W107-98 |
vs
NBA Basketball