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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 2 (Oct 30), 2026-27: Houston 69%, Indiana 31% at Indiana.
Houston's win probability against Indiana has swung between 52% and 77% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 69% now.
Houston's win probability against Indiana has swung between 59% and 81% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 74% now.
Houston's win probability against Indiana has swung between 65% and 85% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 79% now.