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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 2 (Oct 30), 2026-27: Houston 69%, Portland 31% at Houston.
Houston's win probability against Portland has swung between 41% and 56% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 56% now.
Houston's win probability against Portland has swung between 48% and 63% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 63% now.
Houston's win probability against Portland has swung between 54% and 69% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 69% now.