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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 2 (Oct 30), 2026-27: Boston 56%, Denver 44% at Denver.
Boston's win probability against Denver has swung between 45% and 56% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 56% now.
Boston's win probability against Denver has swung between 51% and 62% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 62% now.
Boston's win probability against Denver has swung between 58% and 68% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 68% now.