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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 2 (Oct 31), 2026-27: Phoenix 55%, Chicago 45% at Chicago.
Phoenix's win probability against Chicago has swung between 46% and 63% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 55% now.
Phoenix's win probability against Chicago has swung between 52% and 69% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 61% now.
Phoenix's win probability against Chicago has swung between 59% and 74% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 67% now.