Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
San Francisco
Miami
|
64
D
|
Overall |
82
B-
|
|
68
D+
|
Power |
80
B-
|
|
68
D+
6099
|
Offensive |
80
B-
6099
|
|
San Francisco
6099
Miami
6099
|
||
|
71
C-
6099
|
Defensive |
84
B
6099
|
|
San Francisco
6099
Miami
6099
|
||
|
94
A
|
SoS (Current) |
90
A-
|
|
94
A
|
SoS (Full Season) |
90
A-
|
San Francisco
Miami
| 27 | Overall | 14 |
| 24 | Power | 15 |
| 24 | Offensive | 15 |
| 22 | Defensive | 12 |
| 5 | SoS (Current) | 8 |
| 5 | SoS (Full Season) | 8 |
Wk 32 (Oct 30), 2026: Miami 52%, San Francisco 48% at San Francisco.
Miami's win probability against San Francisco has held at 52% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Miami's win probability against San Francisco has held at 54% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Miami's win probability against San Francisco has held at 57% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At San Francisco | Neutral | At Miami |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | 57% | 59% | 62% |
| Wk 4 | 59% | 61% | 64% |
| Wk 5 | 58% | 61% | 63% |
| Wk 6 | 59% | 62% | 64% |
| Wk 7 | 56% | 59% | 61% |
| Wk 8 | 53% | 56% | 59% |
| Wk 9 | 55% | 58% | 60% |
| Wk 10 | 54% | 57% | 59% |
| Wk 11 | 50% | 53% | 55% |
| Wk 12 | 54% | 57% | 59% |
| Wk 13 | 52% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 14 | 53% | 56% | 58% |
| Wk 15 | 55% | 58% | 60% |
| Wk 16 | 56% | 59% | 61% |
| Wk 17 | 54% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 18 | 53% | 56% | 58% |
| Wk 19 | 51% | 54% | 56% |
| Wk 20 | 51% | 54% | 56% |
| Wk 21 | 53% | 55% | 58% |
| Wk 22 | 54% | 56% | 59% |
| Wk 23 | 53% | 56% | 58% |
| Wk 24 | 52% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 25 | 51% | 54% | 56% |
| Wk 26 | 51% | 54% | 56% |
| Wk 27 | 52% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 28 | 52% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 29 | 52% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 30 | 52% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 31 | 52% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 32 | 52% | 54% | 57% |
San Francisco
Miami
|
2-4 (33.3%) |
Head to Head |
4-2 (66.7%) |
|
65-97 (40.1%) |
Overall |
80-82 (49.4%) |
|
37-44 (45.7%) |
Home |
47-34 (58%) |
|
28-53 (34.6%) |
Away |
33-48 (40.7%) |
|
13-19 (40.6%) |
Versus Top 5 |
13-21 (38.2%) |
|
31-54 (36.5%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
33-47 (41.3%) |
|
34-43 (44.2%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
47-35 (57.3%) |
|
2-8 (20%) |
Last 10 Games |
5-5 (50%) |
San Francisco
Miami
| #1 Milwaukee | Best Win | #1 Milwaukee |
| #30 Colorado | Worst Loss | #30 Colorado |
| 15 runs vs #7 Chi Cubs | Largest MOV | 12 runs vs #4 Atlanta |
| 14 runs vs #1 Milwaukee | Largest MOD | 12 runs vs #11 Pittsburgh |
San Francisco
Miami
| 4.1 | Runs per Game | 4.4 |
| 4.7 | Runs Against | 4.4 |
| 4.1 | Home RPG | 4.5 |
| 4.4 | Home RA | 4 |
| 4.2 | Away RPG | 4.4 |
| 5 | Away RA | 4.8 |
| 13564-13142 | Opponent Record | 13517-13190 |
| 14 | Avg Opponent Rank | 14.4 |
| L 6 | Longest Streak | L 12 |
| L 5 | Current Streak | W 1 |
San Francisco
Miami
| Sep 27 | vs #2 LA Dodgers (103-67) | L1-5 | Sep 27 | vs #4 Atlanta (97-72) | W5-3 |
| Sep 26 | vs #2 LA Dodgers (103-67) | L3-4 | Sep 26 | vs #4 Atlanta (97-72) | L3-8 |
| Sep 25 | vs #2 LA Dodgers (103-67) | L0-2 | Sep 25 | vs #4 Atlanta (97-72) | W3-0 |
| Sep 23 | vs Minnesota (77-85) | L2-4 | Sep 24 | at Chi Cubs (89-75) | L1-2 |
| Sep 22 | vs Minnesota (77-85) | L2-3 | Sep 23 | at Chi Cubs (89-75) | W3-2 |
| Sep 21 | vs Minnesota (77-85) | W5-2 | Sep 22 | at Chi Cubs (89-75) | W8-2 |
| Sep 20 | at #2 LA Dodgers (103-67) | L1-3 | Sep 20 | at San Diego (94-74) | L3-7 |
| Sep 19 | at #2 LA Dodgers (103-67) | L4-10 | Sep 19 | at San Diego (94-74) | L6-7 |
| Sep 18 | at #2 LA Dodgers (103-67) | L2-8 | Sep 18 | at San Diego (94-74) | L2-8 |
| Sep 16 | at St. Louis (77-85) | W6-5 | Sep 16 | at Arizona (86-76) | W4-3 |