Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Washington
Pittsburgh
|
76
C
|
Overall |
86
B
|
|
82
B-
|
Power |
86
B
|
|
96
A
6099
|
Offensive |
92
A-
6099
|
|
Washington
6099
Pittsburgh
6099
|
||
|
67
D+
6099
|
Defensive |
80
B-
6099
|
|
Washington
6099
Pittsburgh
6099
|
||
|
92
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
88
B+
|
|
92
A-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
88
B+
|
Washington
Pittsburgh
| 18 | Overall | 11 |
| 14 | Power | 11 |
| 3 | Offensive | 6 |
| 25 | Defensive | 15 |
| 6 | SoS (Current) | 9 |
| 6 | SoS (Full Season) | 9 |
Wk 32 (Oct 30), 2026: Pittsburgh 54%, Washington 46% at Pittsburgh.
Pittsburgh's win probability against Washington has held at 49% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Pittsburgh's win probability against Washington has held at 51% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Pittsburgh's win probability against Washington has held at 54% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Washington | Neutral | At Pittsburgh |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | 46% | 49% | 51% |
| Wk 4 | 61% | 63% | 66% |
| Wk 5 | 60% | 62% | 65% |
| Wk 6 | 54% | 57% | 59% |
| Wk 7 | 50% | 53% | 55% |
| Wk 8 | 53% | 56% | 58% |
| Wk 9 | 51% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 10 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 11 | 48% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 12 | 47% | 49% | 52% |
| Wk 13 | 45% | 48% | 50% |
| Wk 14 | 48% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 15 | 46% | 48% | 51% |
| Wk 16 | 48% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 17 | 48% | 51% | 53% |
| Wk 18 | 49% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 19 | 48% | 51% | 53% |
| Wk 20 | 48% | 51% | 53% |
| Wk 21 | 48% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 22 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 23 | 48% | 51% | 53% |
| Wk 24 | 48% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 25 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 26 | 48% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 27 | 48% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 28 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 29 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 30 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 31 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 32 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
Washington
Pittsburgh
|
3-4 (42.9%) |
Head to Head |
4-3 (57.1%) |
|
77-85 (47.5%) |
Overall |
82-80 (50.6%) |
|
39-42 (48.1%) |
Home |
44-37 (54.3%) |
|
38-43 (46.9%) |
Away |
38-43 (46.9%) |
|
9-22 (29%) |
Versus Top 5 |
12-19 (38.7%) |
|
31-47 (39.7%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
33-39 (45.8%) |
|
46-38 (54.8%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
49-41 (54.4%) |
|
6-4 (60%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
Washington
Pittsburgh
| #1 Milwaukee | Best Win | #1 Milwaukee |
| #30 Colorado | Worst Loss | #30 Colorado |
| 19 runs vs #28 Athletics | Largest MOV | 12 runs vs #14 Miami |
| 14 runs vs #28 Athletics | Largest MOD | 11 runs vs #7 Chi Cubs |
Washington
Pittsburgh
| 5.1 | Runs per Game | 4.7 |
| 5 | Runs Against | 4.6 |
| 5.3 | Home RPG | 5.1 |
| 5.5 | Home RA | 4.8 |
| 4.8 | Away RPG | 4.4 |
| 4.5 | Away RA | 4.3 |
| 13482-13180 | Opponent Record | 13574-13129 |
| 14.2 | Avg Opponent Rank | 14.4 |
| L 7 | Longest Streak | W 5 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | W 1 |
Washington
Pittsburgh
| Sep 27 | vs NY Mets (74-88) | W6-4 | Sep 27 | at Detroit (76-86) | W4-2 |
| Sep 26 | vs NY Mets (74-88) | L1-7 | Sep 26 | at Detroit (76-86) | L3-4 |
| Sep 25 | vs NY Mets (74-88) | W7-6 | Sep 25 | at Detroit (76-86) | L7-8 |
| Sep 23 | at Detroit (76-86) | W4-2 | Sep 24 | vs St. Louis (77-85) | W2-1 |
| Sep 22 | at Detroit (76-86) | W3-1 | Sep 23 | vs St. Louis (77-85) | L1-5 |
| Sep 21 | at Detroit (76-86) | L2-9 | Sep 22 | vs St. Louis (77-85) | W2-0 |
| Sep 20 | at St. Louis (77-85) | L3-5 | Sep 20 | vs Kansas City (69-93) | W4-3 |
| Sep 19 | at St. Louis (77-85) | W8-5 | Sep 19 | vs Kansas City (69-93) | W6-5 |
| Sep 18 | at St. Louis (77-85) | W9-1 | Sep 18 | vs Kansas City (69-93) | W8-5 |
| Sep 16 | vs Philadelphia (89-76) | L0-3 | Sep 17 | vs #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | W7-4 |