Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Pittsburgh
Philadelphia
|
86
B
|
Overall |
90
A-
|
|
86
B
|
Power |
84
B
|
|
92
A-
6099
|
Offensive |
76
C
6099
|
|
Pittsburgh
6099
Philadelphia
6099
|
||
|
80
B-
6099
|
Defensive |
86
B
6099
|
|
Pittsburgh
6099
Philadelphia
6099
|
||
|
88
B+
|
SoS (Current) |
84
B
|
|
88
B+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
84
B
|
Pittsburgh
Philadelphia
| 11 | Overall | 8 |
| 11 | Power | 12 |
| 6 | Offensive | 18 |
| 15 | Defensive | 11 |
| 9 | SoS (Current) | 12 |
| 9 | SoS (Full Season) | 12 |
Wk 32 (Oct 30), 2026: Pittsburgh 54%, Philadelphia 46% at Pittsburgh.
Pittsburgh's win probability against Philadelphia has held at 48% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Pittsburgh's win probability against Philadelphia has held at 51% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Pittsburgh's win probability against Philadelphia has held at 54% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Philadelphia | Neutral | At Pittsburgh |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | 60% | 63% | 65% |
| Wk 4 | 71% | 73% | 75% |
| Wk 5 | 70% | 72% | 74% |
| Wk 6 | 63% | 65% | 67% |
| Wk 7 | 60% | 62% | 65% |
| Wk 8 | 57% | 59% | 62% |
| Wk 9 | 54% | 57% | 59% |
| Wk 10 | 53% | 56% | 58% |
| Wk 11 | 53% | 56% | 58% |
| Wk 12 | 51% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 13 | 50% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 14 | 47% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 15 | 48% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 16 | 52% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 17 | 53% | 55% | 58% |
| Wk 18 | 53% | 56% | 58% |
| Wk 19 | 51% | 54% | 56% |
| Wk 20 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 21 | 49% | 52% | 54% |
| Wk 22 | 48% | 51% | 53% |
| Wk 23 | 47% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 24 | 47% | 50% | 52% |
| Wk 25 | 47% | 49% | 52% |
| Wk 26 | 47% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 27 | 48% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 28 | 48% | 51% | 53% |
| Wk 29 | 48% | 51% | 53% |
| Wk 30 | 48% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 31 | 48% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 32 | 48% | 51% | 54% |
Pittsburgh
Philadelphia
|
2-5 (28.6%) |
Head to Head |
5-2 (71.4%) |
|
82-80 (50.6%) |
Overall |
89-76 (53.9%) |
|
44-37 (54.3%) |
Home |
43-38 (53.1%) |
|
38-43 (46.9%) |
Away |
46-38 (54.8%) |
|
12-19 (38.7%) |
Versus Top 5 |
11-23 (32.4%) |
|
33-39 (45.8%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
31-38 (44.9%) |
|
49-41 (54.4%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
58-38 (60.4%) |
|
7-3 (70%) |
Last 10 Games |
4-6 (40%) |
Pittsburgh
Philadelphia
| #1 Milwaukee | Best Win | #1 Milwaukee |
| #30 Colorado | Worst Loss | #30 Colorado |
| 12 runs vs #14 Miami | Largest MOV | 12 runs vs #22 NY Mets |
| 11 runs vs #7 Chi Cubs | Largest MOD | 14 runs vs #26 Kansas City |
Pittsburgh
Philadelphia
| 4.7 | Runs per Game | 4.4 |
| 4.6 | Runs Against | 4.3 |
| 5.1 | Home RPG | 4.8 |
| 4.8 | Home RA | 4.6 |
| 4.4 | Away RPG | 4 |
| 4.3 | Away RA | 4 |
| 13574-13129 | Opponent Record | 13648-13487 |
| 14.4 | Avg Opponent Rank | 14.7 |
| W 5 | Longest Streak | L 10 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Pittsburgh
Philadelphia
| Sep 27 | at Detroit (76-86) | W4-2 | Oct 1 | at #4 Atlanta (97-72) | L2-6 |
| Sep 26 | at Detroit (76-86) | L3-4 | Sep 30 | at #4 Atlanta (97-72) | W4-3 |
| Sep 25 | at Detroit (76-86) | L7-8 | Sep 29 | at #4 Atlanta (97-72) | L3-5 |
| Sep 24 | vs St. Louis (77-85) | W2-1 | Sep 27 | vs #3 Tampa Bay (106-70) | W7-3 |
| Sep 23 | vs St. Louis (77-85) | L1-5 | Sep 26 | vs #3 Tampa Bay (106-70) | L1-12 |
| Sep 22 | vs St. Louis (77-85) | W2-0 | Sep 25 | vs #3 Tampa Bay (106-70) | L0-2 |
| Sep 20 | vs Kansas City (69-93) | W4-3 | Sep 24 | vs #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L1-5 |
| Sep 19 | vs Kansas City (69-93) | W6-5 | Sep 23 | vs #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L1-4 |
| Sep 18 | vs Kansas City (69-93) | W8-5 | Sep 22 | vs #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | W6-4 |
| Sep 17 | vs #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | W7-4 | Sep 20 | at NY Mets (74-88) | W7-2 |